Investment Education

Employment Data Revision May Support Fed Rate Cut Decision

According to Odaily, Capital Economics economist Olivia Cross has indicated that the downward revision of employment growth data could imply an upward revision in worker productivity. This scenario would further support the Federal Reserve's decision to cut interest rates. Regardless of the situation, whether it is lower economic activity or stronger productivity growth, it suggests that the Federal Reserve has more reasons to begin easing policies in September.

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South Korea's Central Bank Maintains Interest Rates to Curb Housing Prices

According to Odaily, the Bank of Korea has decided to keep its benchmark interest rate unchanged in an effort to curb rising housing prices. This decision marks the 13th consecutive meeting where the central bank has maintained the same rate, the longest period of stability since 2008. The central bank also adjusted its forward guidance to a more moderate stance, paving the way for potential policy shifts in the coming months.Following the government's announcement, the Korean won and the yield on three-year government bonds saw slight declines. The central bank's committee has been cautious about lowering rates, fearing that any indication of a rate cut could further fuel housing price increases in Seoul and its surrounding areas. Thursday's statement leaned towards a dovish tone, as the central bank removed its previous commitment to keep rates stable for an extended period, suggesting that a rate cut may be approaching.

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Federal Judge Orders Disclosure Of X Holdings Shareholders

According to Odaily, a federal judge in California has ruled to make public the detailed disclosure statement of X Holdings, the parent company formerly known as Twitter, and X.ai, an artificial intelligence startup founded by Elon Musk in 2023. This decision will reveal the list of shareholders for both entities. In 2022, Musk acquired Twitter for $44 billion, privatized the company, and laid off approximately three-quarters of its workforce. Last year, a group of former Twitter employees sued X, seeking payment for arbitration fees arising from disputes with their former employer. Freelance journalist Jacob Silverman, with the assistance of the Reporters Committee for Freedom of the Press, intervened in the case to ensure the disclosure was made public. Despite arguments from Musk and X's lawyers that X Holdings does not disclose information about its owners or shareholders as a matter of policy and considers such information confidential, the judge was not swayed by these confidentiality claims. Reports indicate that several investors were involved when Musk acquired X Holdings, including Twitter founder and former CEO Jack Dorsey, who transferred over $1 billion worth of Twitter stock to the company, Oracle co-founder Larry Ellison, and Silicon Valley venture capital firms Andreessen Horowitz (a16z) and Sequoia Capital. However, Musk has never disclosed a complete list of investors or the company's structure. X Holdings is now required to submit the documents to the court by September 4.

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Fed Members Consider September Rate Cut Amid Reduced Inflation Risks

According to BlockBeats, the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes released on August 22 indicate that the majority of its members believe a rate cut in September may be appropriate. The minutes reveal that the upward risks to inflation have diminished, and nearly all members expect the decline in inflation to continue. However, there is a growing concern among the members about the increasing downside risks to employment.

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U.S. Employment and Wages See Growth in Q1 2024

According to PANews, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics has released the Employment and Wage Census Report for the first quarter of 2024. The report indicates that as of March 2024, the total employment in the 370 largest counties in the United States reached 153.5856 million people, marking a 1.3% increase compared to the previous year. Additionally, the average weekly wage in the U.S. rose to $1,527 during the same period, reflecting a 4.2% year-over-year growth.

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U.S. Labor Department to Release Q1 Employment and Wage Data

According to BlockBeats, on August 21, the U.S. Department of Labor's Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the Quarterly Census of Employment and Wages (QCEW) data for the first quarter of this year. Wall Street institutions generally expect a downward revision in employment figures for the year ending in March, though the extent of the revision varies among different analysts.Economists from Goldman Sachs and Wells Fargo predict that the BLS will revise the non-farm employment growth figures down by at least 600,000 jobs for the year ending in March, which translates to a reduction of approximately 50,000 jobs per month. JPMorgan's analysts estimate a downward revision of around 360,000 jobs, while Goldman Sachs suggests that the revision could be as high as 1 million jobs. If the employment figures are revised down by more than 501,000 jobs, it would mark the largest downward adjustment in 15 years.

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U.S Stock Futures Steady As Market Awaits Fed Signal

According to BlockBeats, on August 20, U.S. stock futures remained largely unchanged following a strong performance the previous day. The market is speculating that the Federal Reserve may soon signal a readiness to begin cutting interest rates. After the S&P 500 Index strengthened for the eighth consecutive day on Monday, traders took a brief pause.Trading volumes have decreased as investors are hesitant to make significant bets ahead of this week's Jackson Hole Economic Symposium. Kyle Rodda, a senior market analyst at Capital.Com Inc., noted that recent data has alleviated concerns about a slowdown in U.S. economic growth without sparking fears of a resurgence in inflation.

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