Investment Education

JPMorgan Strategist: Fed Signals Cautious Approach to Easing Cycle

According to BlockBeats, on September 19, Kerry Craig, a global market strategist at JPMorgan Asset Management, stated in a report that the Federal Reserve has indicated a more cautious approach to the easing cycle. Craig noted that Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell has effectively communicated by balancing the urgency of returning to a neutral interest rate with acknowledging the relatively stable economic state.Craig added that the focus has shifted more towards an employment-first approach rather than inflation. The scale of rate cuts may be less significant than the ultimate goal, which is to lower rates by 150 basis points by the end of 2025 and adjust the policy rate closer to the Fed's neutral view by 2026. Craig mentioned that if nominal growth and the easing cycle remain stable, both stocks and bonds should benefit.

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Louisiana Accepts Crypto Payments for State Services

According to Cointelegraph, the government of Louisiana has made a significant move by accepting its first-ever cryptocurrency payment. State Treasurer John Fleming announced that residents now have the option to pay for state services using Bitcoin (BTC), the Bitcoin Lightning Network, and the US dollar-pegged stablecoin USD Coin (USDC). This development marks a new era for the state, embracing digital currencies for public transactions.The inaugural crypto payment was processed for a fine directed to the Louisiana Department of Wildlife and Fisheries via Bitcoin’s Lightning Network. Fleming highlighted that this initiative is a result of collaboration between the state, Bead Pay, and other integration partners. He emphasized that this move aims to reduce fraudulent transactions and modernize government systems to align with the digital age.Fleming stated, “By introducing cryptocurrency as a payment option, we’re not just innovating; we’re providing our citizens with flexibility and freedom in interacting with state services.” He also assured that the state would receive the payments in fiat currency, as the service converts crypto payments into US dollars, thus mitigating previous concerns about accepting cryptocurrency.Republican State Representative Mark Wright, who led the effort for the state to accept crypto, expressed his enthusiasm about the expanded payment options. Wright had established a digital assets working group in May 2022, which concluded that cryptocurrency would be a viable form of payment. He also spearheaded a 2021 Louisiana House resolution that recognized the contributions of Bitcoin’s anonymous inventor, Satoshi Nakamoto, to economic security.In addition to accepting crypto payments, Louisiana has also taken legislative steps regarding digital currencies. In June, the state amended its laws to ban central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) and set regulations for crypto miners and node operators. The legislation prohibits the state from participating in tests for, accepting, or requiring payments using a CBDC, but it does not ban other forms of digital currency payments.

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Fed's Aggressive Rate Cut Signals Focus on Employment

According to Odaily, a research report from China International Capital Corporation (CICC) indicates that the Federal Reserve's recent decision to implement a more aggressive 50 basis point rate cut was unexpected. The monetary policy statement highlighted that recent inflation data has given policymakers increased confidence in achieving the 2% inflation target. This move suggests that the Fed's response function has shifted from focusing solely on inflation to prioritizing employment. The report interprets this as a signal that the Fed has a low tolerance for rising unemployment and that officials are unwilling to jeopardize the prospects of a 'soft landing' for the economy. Based on statements from Fed Chair Jerome Powell, the report suggests that any unemployment rate exceeding 4.4% could trigger further rate cuts. This indicates that the Fed will maintain a dovish stance until labor market data stabilizes. Looking ahead, the likelihood of a soft economic landing in the short term has increased due to the Fed's more substantial rate cuts.

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Federal Reserve Chair Powell Highlights Strong Economy and Commitment to Sustained Growth

According to Odaily, Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell emphasized the overall strength of the economy and the commitment to maintaining robust economic development. Today, the Federal Reserve has reduced the extent of its policy tightening. Powell stated that today's decision reflects growing confidence in the sustained strong performance of the labor market. He noted that the labor market has cooled from its previous overheated state. Additionally, consumer spending has shown resilience.

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Federal Reserve Confident in Inflation Progress Towards 2% Target

According to BlockBeats, on September 19, the Federal Reserve released a statement from the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) indicating increased confidence in achieving its 2% inflation target. The statement highlighted that the risks to employment and inflation goals are balanced. Economic activity is described as 'steadily' expanding, with a slowdown in job growth and a slight increase in the unemployment rate, which remains low.

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Federal Reserve Removes Key Inflation Phrase From FOMC Statement

According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has removed a significant phrase from its latest statement. The phrase, which previously indicated that it would be inappropriate to lower the target range for interest rates until there was greater confidence in inflation moving towards the 2% target, has been omitted.This language change suggests a potential shift in the Federal Reserve's approach to managing inflation and interest rates. The removal of this phrase could indicate a more flexible stance on monetary policy, allowing for adjustments based on evolving economic conditions rather than a strict adherence to the 2% inflation target.Market analysts and investors are closely monitoring this development, as it may signal future changes in the Federal Reserve's policy direction. The omission of the phrase could lead to increased speculation about the timing and magnitude of potential interest rate adjustments.The Federal Reserve's decision to alter its communication strategy comes amid ongoing economic uncertainties and varying inflationary pressures. By not explicitly tying interest rate decisions to the 2% inflation target, the FOMC may be seeking to provide itself with greater flexibility to respond to a range of economic scenarios.Overall, the removal of this key phrase from the FOMC statement marks a notable shift in the Federal Reserve's messaging and could have significant implications for future monetary policy decisions.

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Federal Reserve Lowers Interest Rate, Gold Prices Surge

According to Odaily, the Federal Reserve has announced a decision to lower the upper limit of the interest rate to 5% as of September 18, down from the previous 5.50%. The expected rate was 5.25%. The Fed's dot plot indicates that the median federal funds rate is projected to be 4.4% by the end of 2024, a decrease from the previous forecast of 5.1%. This marks the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve, leading to a short-term increase in spot gold prices by nearly $20 and a 40-point drop in the U.S. dollar index (DXY). The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) statement noted that the risks to employment and inflation targets are balanced.

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